The first run was repeated under the new rule, with twenty repeat runs for each setting. The result flipped. In the same setting as before, careful inspectors now ended richer, by 173 per actor, and stampers were richer in only 6 of 20 runs. With eight inspectors on duty instead of four, so that no task waited for one, careful inspectors were ahead by 290 and stampers were richer in 1 of 20.
Fees per review were now about equal for both kinds. The difference came from the careful ones winning more tasks to do, and from stampers losing more of their bonds.
When nine of ten inspectors were stampers, nothing separated the two kinds. The rule change stopped charging careful inspectors, but it did not rescue an economy where almost every inspector is careless.
Then the runs added challenges. A worker whose work was rejected could appeal. When workers appealed only work that was truly good, 98% of wrongly rejected work was appealed and overturned, so a careful inspector's mistakes were almost always punished. A stamper's false approvals were caught 3% of the time. With eight on duty, appeals alone made stamping win: stampers ended richer by 136 per actor, in 15 of 20 runs. Where most inspectors were stampers and every rejection was appealed, the appeal became a weapon against the careful inspectors.
The person who asked for the work could also dispute an approval they knew was wrong. This exposed the stampers instead. When that person disputed every false approval and eight inspectors were on duty to hear the disputes, careful inspectors ended richer by 1,331 per actor, with no run going the other way. Each dispute takes two reviews where an audit took one. With only four on duty, disputes made tasks wait, and both kinds ended poorer than with no disputes at all. Where most inspectors were stampers, the disputes were heard by stampers and mostly failed.
A later check found the program had chosen inspectors by a random draw, where the rules say to take turns. With turns, every main result moved by less than its margin of error, and none changed direction.
With appeals and disputes together, the outcome turned on how often the person who asked for the work disputed. The break-even rate was about 0.07. It also turned on how often careful inspectors made mistakes: with one false approval in four disputed, a careful error rate of 10% left the stampers richer in 18 of 20 runs.
The rerun repeated run 1's declaration, changing only the rule: 160 runs, 20 actors, 1,000 ticks, 20 seeds per cell, with four or eight inspectors on duty, two fee levels, and 50/50 and 10/90 splits of careful inspectors and stampers. In run 1's cell the sign flipped. Careful inspectors ended richer by 173 per actor (standard error 73), and stampers were richer in 6 of 20 seeds. With eight on duty, so no case waited for an inspector, the gap was 290 (se 39), 1 of 20. Doubling the fee moved both groups up by about 400 and left the gap where it was. Fees per review were equal, 4.04 against 4.02. The gap came from delivery income and bonds: careful actors won more awards, and stampers forfeited three times the bonds. At 10/90 the difference was within one standard error of zero in every cell.
A sweep of defaults found the tie band to be "the knob that carries the reliability channel". Selection favours reliability, and duty credit only breaks ties; the band sets how close two reliability scores count as tied. Careful and stamper reliability differed by only 0.02, so a band of 0.05 already let most stampers through. With no band, careful actors won 165 awards to the stampers' 135 at 50/50, a gap of 530 per actor. At a band of 0.2 the gap vanished. No default rescued the 10/90 economy.
Appeals run against careful inspectors. When actors appealed truthfully, 98% of false rejections were appealed and overturned, so a careful inspector's 5% error was paid for in full, while a stamper's false approvals were caught 3% of the time. With four on duty the 50/50 gap shrank to −140 (se 120). A control with eight on duty showed it was a reversal: +136 (se 39), stampers richer in 15 of 20. With nine stampers in ten and every rejection appealed, the appeal panel was drawn from stampers. 147 of 155 true rejections were overturned, and stampers ended richer by 717 in 19 of 20 seeds.
Requester disputes run the other way. A requester who disputed every false approval at 50/50 won 72% of them and cut false approvals from 284 to 83. With eight on duty, careful inspectors led by 1,331 per actor (se 35), with none of twenty seeds the other way. With nine stampers in ten, the requester won 78 of 458 disputes, and the accuracy of procedurally established labels fell to 0.59. A dispute uses two reviews where an audit used one. With four on duty and truthful or half disputes, cases waited 7,100 to 8,300 review-ticks, and both populations ended poorer than with no disputes. The record's summary: adjudication "finds the error of whoever the truth-holder chooses to challenge, at the rate the truth-holder chooses to challenge."
Run 3 first corrected a conformance gap. The earlier sweeps assigned inspectors by a seeded random choice, where §7.5 says round-robin. Re-run under round-robin, every headline cell moved by less than its standard error, and no direction changed. With appeals and disputes combined, at no tie band and eight on duty, appeals alone gave stampers +200. Disputing one false approval in four turned it to −489, and the break-even dispute rate at 50/50 was about 0.07. The careful inspector's own error rate decided too: at a dispute rate of 0.25, a careful error rate of 10% put the stampers at +312, richer in 18 of 20.
drivers/sweep.py: 8 cells × 20 seeds = 160 runs of drivers.stamping, 20 actors × 1,000 ticks, 3 tasks per tick at β = 20, b = 0.2, careful accuracy 0.95 and cost 2–3, p_start 0.5, G^V 5, ruling accuracy 0.8 — run 1's declaration unchanged — at X ∈ {4, 8} on duty, f ∈ {2, 4} with φ^F = 2.5 f, splits 50/50 and 10/90.
Source: HANDOFF.md l.254–257
Per actor, means ± sd over 20 seeds; "richer" counts seeds:
| cell |
careful wealth |
stamper wealth |
stamper − careful (se) |
stampers richer |
false approvals / 3,000 |
reviews unassignable ticks |
| 50/50, f 2, X 4 — run 1's cell |
3,275 ± 156 |
3,102 ± 180 |
−173 (73) |
6 of 20 |
284 |
1,046 |
| 50/50, f 2, X 8 |
3,320 ± 87 |
3,031 ± 94 |
−290 (39) |
1 of 20 |
284 |
0 |
| 50/50, f 4, X 4 |
3,670 ± 176 |
3,491 ± 205 |
−179 (83) |
9 of 20 |
284 |
1,057 |
| 50/50, f 4, X 8 |
3,700 ± 87 |
3,427 ± 94 |
−273 (39) |
1 of 20 |
283 |
0 |
| 10/90, f 2, X 4 |
3,687 ± 339 |
3,626 ± 62 |
−61 (89) |
8 of 20 |
522 |
946 |
| 10/90, f 2, X 8 |
3,578 ± 254 |
3,644 ± 30 |
+66 (62) |
11 of 20 |
533 |
0 |
| 10/90, f 4, X 4 |
4,112 ± 396 |
4,020 ± 68 |
−92 (103) |
9 of 20 |
522 |
946 |
| 10/90, f 4, X 8 |
3,952 ± 263 |
4,038 ± 31 |
+85 (65) |
11 of 20 |
534 |
0 |
Source: HANDOFF.md l.263–274
The sign flipped in run 1's cell. Under v1.0.1 stampers ended richer by 249 per actor (4 of 5 seeds); under 1.1.0, same declaration, same seeds among the twenty, careful reviewers end richer by 173 (se 73), stampers richer in 6 of 20. With the capacity ceiling removed (X = 8: no tick in which a submitted case waited for a reviewer) the gap is 290 (se 39), stampers richer in 1 of 20. The fee level does not change the gap (f = 4 moves both populations up by about 400 and leaves the difference where it was), which is what a fee that is fixed by role should do.
Source: HANDOFF.md l.276–281
The channel moved as the revision said it would. Fees per review are now equal: 4.04 careful against 4.02 stamper at f = 2 (run 1: 7.9 against 9.5). The whole gap is delivery income and bonds — careful actors win more awards (154.7 against 145.3 per actor; +193 in delivery) and stampers forfeit three times the bonds (28.2 against 9.9) with 3.0% of their reviews overturned against 1.1%.
Source: HANDOFF.md l.283–286
At 10/90 nothing separates the two. With eighteen stampers the reserve is stamper-on-stamper, audits agree, 522–534 of about 600 truly failed tasks are paid in full, and label accuracy is 0.82–0.83 under both grades; the two careful actors' wealth varies by ±340 across seeds and the difference is within one standard error of zero in every 10/90 cell. The rule change does not rescue an economy whose reviewers are almost all careless; it stops charging the ones who are not.
Source: HANDOFF.md l.289–293
The tie band is the knob that carries the reliability channel. With no band, selection is argmax ρ and careful actors win 165 awards to the stampers' 135 at 50/50: a gap of 530 per actor, three times the default's. At band 0.2 the κ tiebreak hands most awards to whoever has duty credit and the gap vanishes.
Source: HANDOFF.md l.331–333
The ρ separation itself is only 0.02 (0.93 against 0.91), so a band of 0.05 already lets most stampers through; the deterrent the rulebook relies on (§7.3, §11) works exactly as far as selection is allowed to see ρ.
Source: HANDOFF.md l.334–336
ρ reliability (trailing 100 vested outcomes, flat prior) feeds selection; κ duty credit is a tiebreak only.
Source: HANDOFF.md l.78
What this says for the next runs. Within the declared regime no default rescues the 10/90 economy: the reserve is stamper-on-stamper and no knob changes who audits whom.
Source: HANDOFF.md l.350–351
with the actor's response to an N now declared by --appeal-policy: truthful — appeal an N on work that is truly fulfilled, accept otherwise; always — appeal every N.
Source: HANDOFF.md l.357–359
a is about 1, and the §7.3 condition then fails at the effective catch rate. With truthful appeals, 98% of false rejections are appealed and overturned. The careful reviewer's own 5% error on the 80% of work that is good is therefore paid in full — its bond, its fee, and the court fee — while a stamper's false approvals are caught 3% of the time.
Source: HANDOFF.md l.374–377
The money gap at 50/50 shrinks from −173 to −140 and is no longer distinguishable from zero (se 120); at 10/90 it turns against the careful reviewers (+179, 13 of 20), whose ρ falls below the stampers' (0.96 against 0.97) because their errors are the ones that get adjudicated.
Source: HANDOFF.md l.378–381
Frivolous appeals turn the appeal into a weapon in a stamper-majority reserve. With every N appealed at 10/90, the appeal panel is drawn from stampers and answers F: 147 of 155 true rejections are overturned, each careful actor is overturned 96 times and forfeits 483 in bonds, ends with ρ 0.89 against 0.98, and the stampers end richer by 717 in 19 of 20 seeds.
Source: HANDOFF.md l.383–386
with the human's response to a pending F declared by --dispute-policy: truthful — H disputes every pending F on work that truly failed; half — the same with probability 0.5; always — H disputes every pending F.
Source: HANDOFF.md l.402–404
The dispute does to stampers what the appeal did to careful reviewers. A requester who knows the truth and disputes every false approval at 50/50 wins 72% of them, overturns 17% of the stampers' reviews (33 per actor, bonds forfeited 167 against 33), cuts false approvals from 284 to 83, and widens the careful lead to 304 per actor (2 of 20 seeds the other way).
Source: HANDOFF.md l.421–424
Together the two runs say the rulebook's adjudication finds the error of whoever the truth-holder chooses to challenge, at the rate the truth-holder chooses to challenge.
Source: HANDOFF.md l.427–428
At 10/90 the dispute panel is the stampers, and the requester loses. H files 458 disputes and wins 78: the two dispute reviewers are drawn from a reserve that is nine-tenths stampers and say F, so 82% of true disputes fail, false approvals stay at 376, and the procedural grade's accuracy falls to 0.59 — the challenge path is now the least reliable label in the economy.
Source: HANDOFF.md l.430–433
Every dispute costs the reserve more than the audit it replaces. A dispute is two reviews where an audit was one, and with four on duty the economy pays for it in capacity: a submitted case waits for a reviewer in 7,100–8,300 review-ticks under truthful or half disputes, awards go unfilled in about 970 ticks, vesting falls 6–17%, and both populations end poorer than with no disputes at all — the careful reviewers by 500 per actor at 50/50.
Source: HANDOFF.md l.436–440
| cell |
careful |
stamper |
stamper − careful (se) |
richer |
stamper overturned % |
false approvals |
reviews unassignable ticks |
| 50/50, appeals, X 4 (above) |
3,269 |
3,129 |
−140 (120) |
8 of 20 |
3.4 |
248 |
2,981 |
| 50/50, appeals, X 8 |
3,194 |
3,330 |
+136 (39) |
15 of 20 |
2.7 |
276 |
0 |
| 10/90, appeals, X 8 |
3,291 |
3,693 |
+403 (85) |
16 of 20 |
0.6 |
529 |
0 |
| 50/50, disputes, X 4 (above) |
2,748 |
2,444 |
−304 (50) |
2 of 20 |
16.9 |
83 |
7,794 |
| 50/50, disputes, X 8 |
3,595 |
2,264 |
−1,331 (35) |
0 of 20 |
14.2 |
131 |
0 |
| 10/90, disputes, X 8 |
3,661 |
3,545 |
−116 (80) |
9 of 20 |
3.8 |
455 |
1 |
Source: HANDOFF.md l.463–470
Capacity was hiding the size of both challenge effects, not their direction — and in the appeals case it was hiding a reversal. With eight on duty no case waits for a reviewer, and the appeals cell that read as "indistinguishable from zero" at X = 4 reads +136 (se 39), stampers richer in 15 of 20: truthful appeals alone, with the fee penalty gone and the reserve unconstrained, hand the contest to the stampers at 50/50.
Source: HANDOFF.md l.475–479
The dispute cell moves the other way by the same release: −1,331 (se 35), none of twenty seeds the other way — a requester who disputes every false approval, with a reserve that can hear the disputes, takes 17% of the stampers' reviews and most of their awards (112 against 188).
Source: HANDOFF.md l.481–484
Conformance first: assignment is round-robin (§7.5), and the earlier sweeps used a seeded choice.
Source: HANDOFF.md l.536
Every cell moved by less than its standard error and no direction changed, so the five earlier sweeps stand as declared, with this note.
Source: HANDOFF.md l.550–551
The combined regime (combined/): truthful appeals and truthful disputes at rate ∈ {0, 0.25, 0.5}, band 0, X ∈ {4, 8}, both splits. Stamper − careful wealth per actor (se), stampers richer of 20:
| dispute rate |
50/50, X 4 |
50/50, X 8 |
10/90, X 4 |
10/90, X 8 |
| 0 (appeals only) |
+2 (87), 10 |
+200 (52), 16 |
+1,336 (176), 19 |
+1,794 (155), 20 |
| 0.25 |
−77 (56), 8 |
−489 (70), 1 |
+145 (168), 7 |
+1,274 (171), 19 |
| 0.5 |
−144 (36), 3 |
−919 (77), 0 |
−141 (61), 7 |
+1,270 (201), 18 |
Source: HANDOFF.md l.555–562
The requester's attention is the swing variable. With the reserve unconstrained and selection pure argmax ρ, appeals alone give the stampers +200; a requester who disputes one false approval in four turns it to −489 and one in two to −919 — the break-even dispute rate at 50/50 is about 0.07.
Source: HANDOFF.md l.564–566
The ε sweep (epsilon/): the careful reviewer's error rate at dispute rate 0.25, band 0. 50/50, X 8: ε 0.02 → −930 (58); 0.05 → −489 (70); 0.10 → +312 (63), stampers richer in 18 of 20.
Source: HANDOFF.md l.573–574